Commodities Slump, Led by Grains, as U.S. Crop Outlook Improves PDF Print E-mail
07/07/2008

By Millie Munshi (Bloomberg)

Commodities plunged the most since March, led by tumbling grain futures, as favorable Midwest weather improved prospects for U.S. crops. Energy prices also dropped.

The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index fell 2.6 percent to 460.23 at 1:50 p.m. New York time. A close at that level would mark the biggest drop since March 19. Corn, soybeans, wheat and cotton plummeted the maximum allowed by U.S. exchanges. Crude oil dropped as much as 4 percent as tensions surrounding Iran's nuclear program eased.

"There was a lot of room for supplies to improve for a lot of commodities," said Chip Hanlon, who manages $1.5 billion at Delta Global Advisors Inc. in Huntington Beach, California. "Markets had been panicking because of one-time supply threats that no longer pose as much of a threat. It's going to be much quieter for commodities for the rest of the year."

Corn and soybean prices surged in June after the worst Midwest floods since 1993 ravaged some parts of the Midwest. On July 3, oil climbed to a record $145.85 a barrel amid heightened speculation that a conflict between Israel and Iran would disrupt Middle East petroleum shipments.

Seventeen of the 19 commodities in the CRB Index declined today. The gauge climbed to a record 473.97 on July 3.

Corn dropped 30 cents a bushel, and soybeans tumbled 70 cents a bushel, the Chicago Board of Trade's limits. Wheat dropped as much as 60 cents a bushel in Chicago, and cotton tumbled as much as 3 cents a pound, the most allowed by ICE Futures U.S.

Copper, cocoa and coffee also dropped as supply concerns dwindled. Gold and silver fell.

Dollar's Outlook

Investments linked to commodity markets totaled $235 billion through mid-April, according to Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. The pace of investment will slow as the dollar rebounds through the end of the year, said William O'Neill, a partner at Logic Advisors in Upper Saddle River, New Jersey.

Investors should be "cautious" on commodities following the "significant rise" in raw materials in the first half of the year, Andrew Popper, the chief investment officer at SG Hambros in London, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. He helps manage about $13.7 billion.

Corn futures for December delivery fell 3.9 percent to $7.47 a bushel. The price declined 1.3 percent last week after reaching a record $7.9925 on June 27.

U.S. farmers will produce more corn than the government forecast last month after rain revived Midwest crops, Informa Economics Inc. said today.

Soybeans, Wheat

Soybean futures for November delivery plunged 4.3 percent, to $15.61 a bushel. Before today, the most-active contract surged 92 percent in the past year, reaching a record $16.3675 on July 3.

Wheat futures for September delivery fell 51.75 cents, or 5.8 percent, to $8.3575 a bushel on the CBOT. Earlier, the price tumbled as much as 60 cents.

Oil futures for August delivery declined $2.22, or 1.5 percent, to $143.07 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, the price touched $139.50.

Commodities fell earlier after a rebound in the dollar eroded the appeal of raw materials as alternative investments. The dollar dropped as much as 0.2 percent against a weighted basket of the euro, yen, pound and three other major currencies.

"There's a growing psychology that the dollar has bottomed and that we're going to see some steady gains in the currency now," O'Neill of Logic Advisors said.

Aluminum prices rose to a record in London as a power shortage forced smelters in the north of China, the world's largest producer of the metal, to reduce output.

 
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